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Crown Green Handicap

Douglas Raphel

Team: Bebington ParkDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

652

Current Handicap

13
Honours
Season:

17

Matches Played

2

Wins

15

Losses

12%

Win Rate

8.0

Avg Win Margin

9.0

Avg Loss Margin

2-9

Home Record

0-6

Away Record

19%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
17 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 6/25/2021

Only 17 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player4/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 17 matches

+13 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

29 Apr10 Jun17 Jun15 Jul21 Apr19 May7 Jul25 Jun-14916

Gives 13 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current13
Win Percentage(40%)
12%
score-0.76→contribution-0.31
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.0
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
12%
score-0.76→contribution-0.08
Opponent Strength(10%)
795
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Weighted Score-0.507
Sample Size Confidence
19%(17/39 matches)
Rating746 → shrunk 952→ adjusted 652
Handicap
13

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

2W15L17 matches·11.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Bebington Park2016–2021League 31721511.8%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
6/25/2021Ann BrownH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
5/28/2021Colin WolfarthH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
7/13/2018Allan ClarkeH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
7/7/2017Elizabeth GreenA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
5/26/2017Peter LoweA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
5/19/2017Eddie ThomasH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2017Kenny BrierleyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
4/24/2017Norma NielsonH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
4/21/2017Phil HardyA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2016Keith FraserH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2016Eric ShawA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2016Paul BentleyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2016Jake McelnayH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2016Diane BibbyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2016Jonathan Nowell-fennaH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2016Thomas WildA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
4/29/2016Barry BaughH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl2 games · 0W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPaul QuinlanGladstone B12-21LOSSLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundSue LewisWest Kirby Park8-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup1 games · 0W
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundThomas RaybouldGladstone B14-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

9

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
WLLLL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
WLLLLLLWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ann Brown101100%6/25/2021
Colin Wolfarth0110%5/28/2021
Allan Clarke0110%7/13/2018
Elizabeth Green0110%7/7/2017
Peter Lowe0110%5/26/2017
Eddie Thomas0110%5/19/2017
Kenny Brierley0110%4/28/2017
Norma Nielson101100%4/24/2017
Phil Hardy0110%4/21/2017
Keith Fraser0110%7/29/2016
Biggest Win
Ann Brown (+13)6/25/2021
Heaviest Defeat
Keith Fraser (-15)7/29/2016
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 22%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
75114 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-1115% win rate
League 311.8%
2W·15L·17 played

Debut

Apr 29, 2016

Latest

Jun 25, 2021

Seasons Active

4 (5.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

4.3 (17 total)

Seasons

2016201720182021